$4.2 TRILLION Obama expects your children and grandchildren to pay for... so you don't have to.

| 3 Comments

These 2 charts are compilations of Obama's own numbers and statements and the assessments thereof from the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center (TPC), The Committee for A Responsible Budget (CFARB) (which in turn used The Congressional Budget Office, the Tax Policy Center and Congress' Joint Committee on Taxation), the pro-Obama Lewin Group and The Cato Institute's economist Senior Fellow Alan Reynolds, who wrote this article in the Wall Street Journal earlier this week, which was taken from this analysis called "Taxes & Deficits - a 2008 Perspective."

OBAMA's "PAY FOR EVERY DIME" PLAN for his New Spending
WHAT OBAMA WANTS US TO PAY FOR:SINGLE YEAR: 201310 YEAR COSTS BY 2018
Extend Most 01, 03 Tax Cuts-294 Billion-2.94 TRILLION
Expand Health Care-115 Billion-1.63 TRILLIONTPC estimates
Tax Rebates, Assistance-85 Billion-850 Billion
Invest in Green Tech-15 Billion-150 Billion
Close "Doughnut Hole"-43 Billion-430 Billion
Cut Corp. Taxes-13 Billion100 BillionTbl1: Reynolds
Patch AMT-106 Billion-1.06 TRILLION
R&E Tax Credit Permanent-10 Billion-100 Billion
Refundable Mortgage Credit-13 Billion-126 BillionTbl4:Reynolds
Making Work Pay Tax Credit-72 Billion-710 BillionTbl4:Reynolds
Eliminate Taxes for Seniors-7 Billion-70 BillionTbl4:Reynolds
Expand Earned Inc Tax Credit-5 Billion-46 BillionTbl4:Reynolds
Saver Credit, Auto-Saving-21 Billion-203 BillionTbl4:Reynolds
College Tax Credit-13 Billion-139 BillionTbl4:Reynolds
Childcare Tax Credit-3 Billion-23 BillionTbl4:Reynolds
PreK-12 EdSpending-18 Billion-180 Billion
Infrastructure Reinv.Bank-6 Billion-60 Billion
New Spending, Research-15 Billion-150 Billion
More Higher Ed support-9 Billion-90 Billion
Double Foreign Aid-25 Billion-250 Billion
Increase Military-20 Billion-200 Billion
TOTALS:-908 Billion-9.307 TRILLION

OBAMA's "PAY FOR EVERY DIME" PLAN for his New Spending
HOW OBAMA SAYS HE'S PAID FOR IT:SINGLE YEAR: 201310 YEAR REVENUES BY 2018MORE ACCURATE SOURCES/
DETAILS
THE MORE ACCURATE 10-YEAR REVENUES
Up Taxes on Higher Earners48 Billion781.2 BillionTbl1: TPC, Reynolds185 Billion
Up Capital Gains/Divid.Tax28 Billion166.8 BillionTbl1: TPC, Reynolds30 Billion
Smaller Estate Tax44 Billion440 Billion440 Billion
Close Loopholes, Shelters75 Billion750 BillionTPC: Tbl R2: "UNVERIFIABLE"; Tbl1: Reynolds300 Billion
Fix Govt Spending17 Billion170 BillionTPC: "UNVERIFIABLE"; Tbl1: Reynoldsincl. in above #
Cap-and-Trade System100 Billion1 TrillionCFARB1 Trillion
Withdraw from Iraq156 Billion1.56 TRILLION1.56 TRILLION
No Wasteful Spending20 Billion200 Billion200 Billion
Reduce Govt Contracting40 Billion400 Billion400 Billion
Nix Education Loans4 Billion40 Billion40 Billion
Tax Interest as Earned Inc.2 Billion20 Billion20 Billion
Lower H/C Costs50 Billion500 Billion500 Billion
Lower Medicare Costs43 Billion430 Billion430 Billion
TOTAL WAYS OBAMA SAYS HE'LL PAY FOR IT:$627 BILLION$6.458 TRILLION$5.105 TRILLION
THE SHORTFALL:-$281 Billion-$2.85 TRILLION-$4.2 TRILLION

Where no source is noted, data is from TPC, CFARB, Lewin Group, all their sources, Obama, or combinations thereof. OTHER NOTES, SOURCES LISTED AT END

$6.458 trillion in new revenues MINUS $9.307 trillion in new spending = $2.85 trillion shortfall unpaid-for.

$5.105 trillion in new revenues MINUS $9.307 trillion in new spending = $4.202 trillion shortfall unpaid-for.

Even if you allow Obama, TPC, CFARB, et.al. the "unverifiable" figures and blind acceptance of Obama's numbers, OBAMA'S OWN NUMBERS DON'T PAY FOR $2.85 TRILLION OF HIS NEW SPENDING OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS.

However, including more objective financial analyses, Obama hasn't "paid for" an estimated $4.2 TRILLION to cover his new spending, over and above the current deficit and paying for Social Security and Medicare as they stand today.

Who do you really think he'll have to tax to make up that difference?

It's either you, or your children and grandchildren down the road.

Remember, Congress' ratings are worse than GWB's and Congress has never met a tax or spending increase it didn't love. Whether Obama stays in office past one term or not, you know that once the government gets its hands on all that spending, it won't give it back. Ever.

As Reynolds himself said in his analysis: "None of the Reynolds estimates is intended to be precise, nor should any 10-year budget estimates be considered more than rough approximations." In fact, several categories above can only extrapolate a 10 year estimate from a single year (2013). Obama's projections of savings or revenues in years both before and after 2013 could be either lower or higher. No one, not even Obama, can predict all of this. While it is imperfect, it is still the best way to evaluate the level of truth in Obama's audacious claim that "I pay for every dime."

The plain facts--the best estimates of many esteemed economists and tax experts
--indicate that Obama cannot pay for every new-spending dime he wants the government to spend over the next 4 to 10 years.

He cannot pay for 42 trillion dimes.

It all seems like funny money to talk in such huge numbers, but here it is with the zeroes:

$4,202,000,000,000.00

That's four trillion, two-hundred and two billion dollars Obama cannot pay for over the next 10 years.

Even if he taxed "the rich" at 100% he couldn't pay for it all.

First he promised taxcuts and/or no tax increases to all those making under $250,000 a year. (For those who'd argue I have it wrong, ask 10 people on the street in any blue-leaning state. At least 9 will say that "Obama's going to cut my taxes or give me money back if I make under $250k" and he lets them believe that.)

Then that magic number moved down to "under $200,000."

Joe Biden moved it down to "under $150,000" just this past week.

Obama will have to keep lowering that safety ceiling, to under $100,000, under $75,000, under $50,000 perhaps, and yet the whole nation voting for him next Tuesday is willing to do that.

Don't take my word for it. Listen to the man in his own words:

"We all need to sacrifice...It's all gonna cost us...All of us are going to contribute, all of us are gonna have to sacrifice." [at 8:50 and 9:35]

It's so ironic that Obama and his entranced followers rail against "the failed economic policies" of the last 8 years.

You're about to vote for another "failed economic policy," one which you can see how it will fail even BEFORE you vote for it.

You think the last 8 years were bad for you and for the economy? You ain't seen nothing yet.

Don't say you were not warned.


NOTES/OTHER SOURCES

  1. "When CFARB 'ran [Obama's] numbers', they relied almost entirely on unverifiable numbers eagerly provided to them by the Obama campaign. That explains why their list of Mr. Obama's new spending plans is so much shorter than the National Taxpayers Union fully documented list. But nothing quite explains why even the vaguest promises to save money are recorded by CFARB as if they had substance.

    "Mr. Obama has also promised to spend more on 176 other programs, according to an 85-page list of campaign promises (actual quotations) compiled by the National Taxpayers Union Foundation. The NTUF was able to produce cost estimates for only 77 of the 176, so its estimate is low. Excluding the Obama health plan, the NTUF estimates that Mr. Obama would raise spending by $611.5 billion over the next five years; the 10-year total (aside from health) would surely exceed $1.4 trillion, because spending typically grows at least as quickly as nominal GDP."

  2. CAP & TRADE CARBON TAX: "The effect on U.S. families and firms would be like a steep tax on electricity, gasoline and energy-intensive products such as paper, plastic and aluminum."

  3. "In his acceptance speech at the Democratic convention on Aug. 28, Mr. Obama said, 'I've laid out how I'll pay for every dime -- by closing corporate loopholes and tax havens.' That comment refers to $924.1 billion over 10 years from what the TPC wisely labels 'unverifiable revenue raisers.' To put that huge figure in perspective, the Congressional Budget Office optimistically expects a total of $3.7 trillion from corporate taxes over that period. In other words, Mr. Obama is counting on increasing corporate tax collections by more than 25% simply by closing "loopholes" and complaining about foreign 'tax havens.' Nobody, including the Tax Policy Center, believes that is remotely feasible."

  4. Regarding saving by importing more foreign drugs and requiring more drug firm bargains: "Yet even proponents of [Obama's] approach such as The Lewin Group [ALSO SEE THIS POST] find that cannot save more than $6 billion a year." So this difference, $37 billion, comes from what Obama calls "'additional measures as necessary' (more taxes?)"


This was the promised chart from this post.


[apologies for keeping this non-extended format. I felt it was too important to split up into another page that far too many would not bother to click through to read.]

3 Comments

Aside from the spending the issue is also that he wants to expand the nanny-state. Why so much spending on pre-K programs? They want to indoctrinate your children from the cradle.

Obama's profound level of deception:

In the final days of the campaign, Barack Obama continues to land the same sucker punch on taxes he used in the debates -- and John McCain continues to take it on the chin.

In the last debate, Sen. Obama said, "We both want to cut taxes, the difference is who we want to cut taxes for. . . . The centerpiece of [McCain's] economic proposal is to provide $200 billion in additional tax breaks to some of the wealthiest corporations in America. Exxon Mobil, and other oil companies, for example, would get an additional $4 billion in tax breaks."

That $200 billion figure is false. Yet FactCheck.org and most reporters never bothered to ask Mr. Obama where he came up with it. FactCheck.org did discover that Mr. Obama's claim about "$4 billion in tax breaks for energy companies" came from a two-page memo from the Center for American Progress Action Fund -- a political lobby headed by John Podesta, former chief of staff to Bill Clinton, with tax issues handled by two lawyers, Robert Gordon and James Kvaal, former policy directors for the John Kerry and John Edwards campaigns. Those lawyers confused average tax rates (after credits and deductions) with the 35% statutory rate on the next dollar of earnings, so that cutting the latter rate from 35% to 25% would supposedly cut big oil's $13.4 billion tax bill by 28.5%, or $3.8 billion. That is not economics; it is not even competent bookkeeping

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